Skip to content

Wins

  • in JP, Wins
  • 1 min read

3436 (SUMCO): Swing to a breakout

3436 trade plan

My biggest JP market win to date! From an average entry price of 3020 to a 4303 exit, that's about a 43% gain.

To be honest I feel like I'm finding my niche with swing trading. I know it's a bull market and I still need to prove myself when things go upside down, but wins like this helps you be more confident in executing your trade ideas.

Trade Plan

May 11: AOTS on weekly starts. Currently on EMA9 support.

Entry1: 2980 (May 19) - 50% buy on day-1 (confirmation) candle

Entry2: 3060 (May 20) - 50% buy on day-2 (validation) candle

Target price: ~3750 level for a ~23% gain CL: 7% to MA20 trend line RRR: 3:1

Notes

May 22: RSI is healthy (60 as of yesterday EOD).

May 28: Daily MA20 seems to be holding.

May 29: Box BO with strong volume

Jun 1: BO confirmation with strong volume.

Exit

Jun 2: Sold EOD at first black candle.

3436 June 2 price action

Price was in the lower level of -7% to -5% in the first half of the trading day then started to climb back up in second half. So far price movement in the JP market tends to be better towards the EOD.

So far price movement in the JP market tends to be better towards the EOD.

Also, the JP market seems to have a warm-up period in the first 30 mins of the day. Avoid trading during this time.

  • in US, Wins
  • 1 min read

QCOM: A quick trade for a reasonable gain

QCOM trade plan

This was a quick one.

Sold on the third candle for a quick 15.25% gain.

MAs just entered AOTS stage so probably there's more room for growth.

Day-wise candle also broke a major resistance area and now trading ATH.

Today (May 29) pre-market price is at +3% which is at a level a tiny bit above the last major box.

RSI looks on track to breakout of RSI70 again.

I've been here warming my seat thinking about a re-entry. More later. Gambatte, self!

  • in US, Wins
  • 1 min read

ARM: Swinging from the bottom to a breakout

ARM trade plan

Trade Plan (May 12)

  • Entry price: 211.45
  • CL1: -5.2% (200.86 at MA20 support)
  • CL2: -10% (190.21 at box bottom)
  • TP on box top: 13.19% (239.4)
  • Check daily MA20 support
  • Check 4H MA50 support

Notes

May 21

  • At EOD: strong box breakout overtaking the initial TP. Also with good volume. Decided not sell for now.
  • Monitor price movement the following day.

May 22

  • Early trading hours shows strong demand, though it's end of week so watch out for price action more carefully.
  • Gap up opening.
  • Missed to check daily MA20 and 4H MA50 previously. But as of today both supports were followed.
  • Box breakout occurred after hitting support level
  • At EOD: Long white candle with almost no wick. Decided not to take profit for now. Monitor again tomorrow.
  • RSI looks good.

May 26

  • First trading of the week.
  • Holding. RSI looks healthy.

Thoughts on Exit

Actual exit price: 313.14 (May 27)

  • Noticed price action in smaller intervals was not holding well. (Black candle in morning hours).
  • Secured profit. Watch out for a re-entry.
  • in JP, Wins
  • 1 min read

SMFG (8316): A cup and handle story

ICT trade plan

Finally was able to gain back what I lost on this pick from almost 3 months back.

Re-entry point mainly anchored on the daily MA100 and weekly MA20 of the stock expecting a cup and handle pattern. And it did-- the handle was supported by MA100 on the daily chart.

As for the exit, a pullback seemed more common than a follow through of the breakout candle. I exited based on this. Though this morning (day after the exit), the price jumped around 2.5%.

Should I consider to sell the next morning after the breakout candle?

Also in hindisght, the index formed the same pattern.

ICT trade plan

Don't forget to check the index once in a while

  • in US, Wins
  • 1 min read

INTC: Buy on gap

INTC buy on gap

This is probably my first successful buy on gap trade. I saw the stock surging on the first half of the trading day (first hour if I remember correctly) and just bought without hesitation. But this was mainly because I wasn't treating my US account very seriously. It was an account I opened during the pandemic and put something there to see how much it will grow over time.

The actual upside could have been higher if only I had an exit plan. If I sold on box confirmation or validation, profit could have been 36%.

Key takeaways

  • Do NOT hold fast rising stocks for long
  • Always monitor the delta between price and MA trend line.
  • Consider to sell on box confirmation

Renesas: Buy on breakout

ICT trade plan

This needs to go the vault because this is the trade that, in fact, gave me the confidence to get back into trading. Honestly, I've never thought I would be trading in the Japan market for the main reason I couldn't understand Nihonggo. Well, I still can't understand very well until now, but here I am, playing in the market in humble beginnings.

This is technically my first TSE trade. The total holding period was about 5 weeks which I thought would have taken less time to make the same amont of profit. Saw this stock on the screener with a good amount of volume with a price breakout from a 6-month consolidation phase. Entered at the third candle.

Stock consolidated for a few weeks before breaking out once more. Exited at second candle of box formation.

In retrospect

Yes, it indeed formed a new box but with higher lows. I could have planned another entry at box bottom.

If I followed through, the exit plan could have been the box breakdown. If that happened, I still would have profited another ~27%.

Bears took over at the start of March on fears of oil supply shortage due to the US attack on Iran. Even then, the stock recovered following EMA9.

  • in PH, Wins
  • 1 min read

ICT trade with MAs

Fast forward from December of 2025 to today - I managed to increase the portfolio by about 25%.

ICT trade plan Snap of the port just before the sell execution. Actual exit value was at 785.

Went all in with ICT considering the strong uptrend but didn't really have an entry price in mind.

The plan was to capitalize on the swings but my full-time job didn't allow me to check trends and execute trades in the middle of the day.

Fortunately, I'm on holiday today so I was able to monitor at EOD where I found a bearish candle for a sell signal.

ICT trade plan

How do you calculate the RRR when the stock is ATH levels?

Stock is still going strong. When do you re-enter?